As much as the Democrats may “deserve” to win this next Presidential election on the merits, given the personal nature of US politics, they still are going to lose to McCain unless they select a more popular nominee. Here are the head-to-head match ups of the two leading Dem candidates against McCain, via The Votemaster:
Finally, Cook/RT Strategies just released some head-to-head polls for the general election. Here they are.
Democrat Pct Republican Pct Clinton 41 McCain 45 Obama 45 McCain 43 Clinton 48 Romney 42 Obama 50 Romney 41
If McCain is the GOP nominee, he beats Clinton but loses narrowly to Obama.
Not only that, but in the electoral college vote, which is the only thing that counts anyway, all indications are that Obama’s advantage, vis-a-vis Clinton, would be magnified. Why? A glance at the new color-coded maps at Electoral-Vote.com shows that Hillary’s big victories have been in safe Democratic states like NY and California, while Obama has been triumphing all over the place in battleground states like Missouri, Iowa, and Minnesota. This would allow Obama to convert his popular vote advantage more easily into an electoral-vote advantage, and head-off a repeat of the disastrous 2000 Bush-Gore situation. Further, Obama, not Clinton, has been winning in all the traditionally Republican bastions such as the Deep South. This would also help because McCain would be forced to devote resources to shoring up his support in those states, thereby diverting those resources from swing states.
And note that all these numbers are before the Republican attack machine gears up. So if you want any chance of defeating the GOP in Nov. and you’re a dem primary voter, it’s pretty clear who to vote for. Just for the record, I think Obama is no saint or savior, I’m just saying for informational purposes…del.icio.us |Digg it |ma.gnolia |StumbleUpon |