Late night IM thoughts on “the situation”
Jun 27th, 2008 by heatkernel
I don’t have much time to post these days. Here is a distillation of my thoughts on the present energy-financial-geopolitical situation (this was posted at the point when oil is $140 a barrel, after the collapse of Bear but before that of Lehman, and as the S&P goes below 1285):
It’s clear something’s going to have to give.
I still wonder if the US isn’t going to throw the dice
and just go all out trying to conquer the ME and Central Asia
on the theory that “those damned A-rabs are holding it [our oil] back.
I think that attempt at conquest will fail.
BUT,
there IS a fair amount of oil under the ground
in Iraq, Iran and Kazhakhstan
if it were all developed
in the way that Saudis developed the fields
at their height it could definitely buy some time problem is
we would not be able to impose sufficient stability
I mean, what I can’t get over is that Iraqi oil production
is still below what it was under Saddam and Oil for Food
how is it we are not able to get that production back up?
even though I opposed to invasion
and occupation etc.
I still would like to see us get that production back up by any means
and give a good cut to the Iraqis
but, we wouldn’t do that, of course
yeah, that’s really the thing
about the place
if the “surge” were really a success
wouldn’t oil production have recovered to 2002 levels?
I just would like to understand the mind
of Cheney
like, what would he have to say about that?
if he is really the evil genius some people think
I would think we would have just carpet bombed Sadr City, Najaf, and every
other resisting area
and grabbed the oil
by now
I think he is just truly dim
or maybe was smart but lost part of his brain
and then I’m reading about
how the US elite has stymied exploration of Iranian
gas and oil
by putting harsh sanctions
on any business that partners with the regime there
as a net thing
I think the peak has been brought forward overall
by US foreign policy
could be a conspiracy
but more likely
they just truly did not believe Peak Oil
would ever be a big deal
because the economics/busin
blinded them to anything resource-like
resource-deplet
they=US foreign policy elite
if there is such a thing
look, even Pat Lang
still doesn’t get it
and he’s clearly one of the smarter, better intentioned ones
and this is not tough stuff really
any farmer or mechanic should be able to understand the concept
I guess the wrong kind of advanced education can really be harmful
to the intelligence
…….
I should just repost these IM observations to my blog
w/o any editing
I’m too distracted these days to post to it regularly
……
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[...] I showed (ahem!) a certain amount of prescience about the way events would unfold, for example here and here, it gives me little pleasure to gloat over that fact. I genuinely hope that the US views [...]
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